Small: Energy Prices Will Keep Rising Until Iran Capitulates

Jeffrey Small describes a “three-way pressure point” in the markets. The “key support” is in earnings strength, providing a floor as the market is roiled by geopolitically-driven volatility. He argues that valuations were stretched before the conflict began, and it “only takes a tiny little thing” to set off a sell-off. He expects energy prices to keep rising until Iran capitulates, and explains how the jobs report tomorrow could impact the Fed rate cut path.

Market On Close

05 Mar 2026

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