
Morning Watchlist: Yields Rise, Tax Bill Raises Debt Ceiling by $4T
Equity markets are little changed in premarket trading, as major stock indices saw their worst day in about a month yesterday on the back of a disappointing U.S. 20-year Treasury auction and rising yields that saw the 30-year yield rise above 5% and the 10-year yield approach 4.6%. Treasury market participants also now must weigh breaking news that the U.S. House of Representatives narrowly passed a revised multi-trillion dollar GOP tax bill that would further increase government debt and raise the nation’s debt ceiling by $4 trillion.
Today’s economic data includes Jobless Claims, PMI Composite Flash, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, and Existing Home Sales. Several stocks are seeing strong earnings moves to the upside, including AAP (+25.6%), URBN (+18.4%), and SNOW (+10.1%), with results to come from INTU, WDAY, and ADSK in the postmarket.
Snapshot (as of 7 AM ET)
- Oil (/CL) – Oil prices are down almost 2% to $60.50.
- Gold (/GC) – Gold is down slightly near $3,304 as it struggles around the key $3,330 level.
- Bitcoin (/BTC) – The cryptocurrency is up over 2% to $111,320 after making a new all-time high of $112,165 yesterday.
- VIX – The CBOE Volatility Index closed at 20.87 yesterday for its largest move since early April as stocks faltered. It is up slightly this morning to 21.37.
- U.S. Dollar (/DX) – The dollar is flat around 99.6 after losing -1.1% during the past three sessions
Biggest Premarket Movers (Mark % Change as of 7 AM ET)
- Analog Devices (ADI): +3.05%
- Coinbase (COIN): +2.10%
- Fastenal (FAST): +1.77%
- Enphase Energy (ENPH): -17.00%
- First Solar (FSLR): -6.04%
- UnitedHealth Group (UNH): -3.72%
Economic Data
- 8:30AM ET: Jobless Claims, Chicago Fed Nat. Activity Index
- 9:45AM ET: PMI Composite Flash
- 10:00AM ET: Existing Home Sales, Quarterly Services Survey
- 10:30AM ET: EIA Natural Gas Report
- 11:00AM ET: Kansas City Fed Mfg. Index
- 11:30AM ET: 4-Week Bill Auction, 8-Week Bill Auction
- 2:00PM ET: Fed’s Williams Speaks
- 4:30PM ET: Fed Balance Sheet
Notable Earnings
- Premarket: ADI, WSM, RL, BJ, AAP
- Postmarket: INTU, WDAY, ADSK, CPRT, ROST, DECK
- Premarket Tomorrow: BAH, FRO
- Postmarket Tomorrow: None
Upgrades/Downgrades
- Needham upgrades Zoom (ZM) to Buy from Hold
- Needham upgrades Inogen (INGN) to Buy from Hold
- Melius Research downgrades Marvell (MRVL) to Hold from Buy
- BMO Capital downgrades Sunrun (RUN) to Underperform from Market Perform
- DA Davidson downgrades Guidewire (GWRE) to Neutral from Buy